Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.006205 2.305528 2.637773 3.034519 3.496210 4.017489 4.652023
2025-05-04 1.579726 1.985498 2.481071 3.133678 3.974683 5.027616 6.454623
2025-05-11 1.320254 1.761716 2.336645 3.145882 4.264608 5.769802 7.970504
2025-05-18 1.141229 1.597780 2.223965 3.154413 4.517024 6.462948 9.494442
2025-05-25 0.978867 1.426629 2.068029 3.065750 4.600361 6.906867 10.702946
2025-06-01 0.886031 1.339269 2.014715 3.110434 4.873805 7.652954 12.468130
2025-06-08 0.816620 1.276054 1.985950 3.182886 5.191503 8.500149 14.515756
2025-06-15 0.744787 1.199097 1.924341 3.190707 5.398480 9.185435 16.383770
2025-06-22 0.668906 1.106175 1.824982 3.120437 5.458538 9.620009 17.860032
2025-06-29 0.608258 1.031501 1.746714 3.074805 5.551969 10.119163 19.524117
2025-07-06 0.552490 0.959016 1.663799 3.009518 5.598076 10.531567 21.074633
2025-07-13 0.533191 0.948402 1.687876 3.141977 6.031802 11.737345 24.424066
2025-07-20 0.488131 0.891565 1.631397 3.133695 6.228151 12.580180 27.340364
2025-07-27 0.460059 0.864214 1.628761 3.235403 6.674378 14.036195 31.980697
2025-08-03 0.425154 0.819174 1.585845 3.248069 6.933334 15.133060 36.025367
2025-08-10 0.394018 0.777654 1.544352 3.256898 7.183798 16.252228 40.371501
2025-08-17 0.356833 0.719530 1.461925 3.165135 7.191059 16.806728 43.401962
2025-08-24 0.336225 0.693338 1.442837 3.211380 7.527943 18.212822 49.024978
2025-08-31 0.319933 0.674380 1.436793 3.286368 7.946266 19.898247 55.834303
2025-09-07 0.299933 0.645084 1.404473 3.294462 8.198349 21.199282 61.848836
2025-09-14 0.276086 0.604656 1.342454 3.221733 8.229910 21.914264 66.264010
2025-09-21 0.256304 0.571405 1.293284 3.174506 8.322270 22.816428 71.505387
2025-09-28 0.237103 0.537540 1.238977 3.106940 8.348659 23.536182 76.339973